The global technology services industry is built on a single premise: skilled software engineering labor is scarce, and these firms broker access to it.
That premise is about to collapse. When AI can write production code for $200/month, clients will not pay $150/hour for humans to do it slower. The labor arbitrage that built this industry - wage differentials between Bangalore and Boston, Montevideo and Manhattan - becomes meaningless when AI has no wage at all.
The industry's response has been denial dressed as adaptation. "AI will make our engineers more productive." This is the Kodak defense. It misunderstands the threat.
If everyone's engineers become 10x more productive through AI, no one has a competitive advantage. You're back to price competition, now carrying massive headcount overhead for a commoditized service. The math is unforgiving.
The firms that survive will not be the ones with the most engineers. They will be the ones who figured out what AI cannot do: take accountability, navigate organizational complexity, define what should be built and why, and own outcomes when they fail.